Some Stats for
'Changed Since The Pandemic' Paper
20/12/2024
| Basic Income Post |
0.57 |
76.97 |
74.51 |
81.00 |
80.00 |
22.61 |
25.50 |
 |
 |
304 |
| In Control Of Life |
0.69 |
61.85 |
61.02 |
70.00 |
65.00 |
24.25 |
22.39 |
 |
 |
304 |
| Gad 7 |
0.77 |
6.21 |
4.80 |
5.00 |
3.00 |
5.36 |
4.84 |
 |
 |
304 |
| Phq 8 |
0.75 |
5.95 |
4.29 |
4.00 |
2.00 |
5.53 |
4.96 |
 |
 |
304 |
| Ladder |
0.79 |
5.24 |
5.22 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
1.55 |
1.55 |
 |
 |
304 |
| Hh Net Income Pa |
0.78 |
39,897.63 |
39,913.82 |
37,133.42 |
35,000.00 |
19,452.46 |
20,228.72 |
 |
 |
304 |
| Age |
1.00 |
42.04 |
44.01 |
39.00 |
41.00 |
13.30 |
13.25 |
 |
 |
304 |
SOME COUNTS
Gender
| Female |
165 |
| In another way (please type in below) |
4 |
| Male |
135 |
Vote Intention 2022
| Conservative |
37 |
| Labour |
141 |
| LibDem |
16 |
| Nat/Green |
21 |
| No Vote/DK/Refused |
68 |
| Other/Brexit |
21 |
Vote Intention 2024
| Conservative |
15 |
| Labour |
152 |
| LibDem |
6 |
| Nat/Green |
21 |
| No Vote/DK/Refused |
107 |
| Other/Brexit |
3 |
Basic Income Lovers V3
Basic Income Lovers V4
Basic Income Haters V3
Basic Income Haters V4
OLS 1st differences
t-stats in parentheses
|
| | delta_basic_income_post |
| | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) |
|
|
| (Intercept) | 2.159 (0.338) | -2.245 (-0.495) | -2.099 (-0.463) | -1.848 (-0.420) | -1.754 (-0.399) |
| delta_HH_Net_Income_PA | 0.000 (0.864) | 0.000 (0.886) | | | |
| delta_At_Risk_of_Destitution | 0.033 (0.543) | 0.049 (0.819) | 0.045 (0.744) | 0.043 (0.719) | 0.038 (0.649) |
| delta_gad_7 | 0.106 (0.221) | 0.083 (0.175) | 0.102 (0.216) | | |
| delta_phq_8 | -0.209 (-0.460) | -0.164 (-0.371) | -0.170 (-0.384) | | |
| delta_Ladder | 0.409 (0.303) | 0.566 (0.419) | 0.709 (0.530) | 0.697 (0.530) | |
| Age_v3 | -0.039 (-0.376) | -0.030 (-0.308) | -0.033 (-0.331) | -0.035 (-0.353) | -0.035 (-0.361) |
| Gender_v3: Male | 1.882 (0.695) | 2.156 (0.808) | 2.099 (0.787) | 2.029 (0.765) | 1.844 (0.703) |
| Gender_v3: Other | 6.973 (0.590) | 6.423 (0.550) | 5.138 (0.443) | 4.817 (0.420) | 4.354 (0.381) |
| next_election_v3: Labour | -2.456 (-0.558) | | | | |
| next_election_v3: LibDem | -7.701 (-1.112) | | | | |
| next_election_v3: Nat/Green | -9.956 (-1.538) | | | | |
| next_election_v3: No Vote/DK/Refused | -7.045 (-1.479) | | | | |
| next_election_v3: Other/Brexit | -3.129 (-0.499) | | | | |
|
|
| N | 304 | 304 | 304 | 304 | 304 |
| R2 | 0.024 | 0.008 | 0.005 | 0.004 | 0.004 |
|
MIXED MODELS
1
Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood
basic_income_post ~ 1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder + (1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder | PROLIFIC_PID)
logLik -2 logLik AIC AICc BIC
-3067.7091 6135.4181 6191.4181 6194.2229 6314.9030
Variance components:
Column Variance Std.Dev. Corr.
PROLIFIC_PID (Intercept) 9.42762421 3.07044365
HH_Net_Income_PA 0.00000072 0.00084865 -1.00
At_Risk_of_Destitution 1.67147827 1.29285663 +0.24 -0.24
gad_7 15.89670577 3.98706732 +0.01 -0.01 -0.36
phq_8 37.02866501 6.08511832 +0.07 -0.07 -0.53 +0.31
Ladder 43.01162745 6.55832505 +0.29 -0.29 -0.19 -0.20 +0.32
Residual 8.47417749 2.91104405
Number of obs: 608; levels of grouping factors: 304
Fixed-effects parameters:
------------------------------------------------------------------
Coef. Std. Error z Pr(>|z|)
------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 83.919 5.33579 15.73 <1e-55
HH_Net_Income_PA 0.000109139 0.000103904 1.05 0.2935
At_Risk_of_Destitution 0.0575655 0.103365 0.56 0.5776
gad_7 -0.208289 0.518668 -0.40 0.6880
phq_8 0.850634 0.60749 1.40 0.1614
Ladder -2.99774 1.05534 -2.84 0.0045
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2
Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood
basic_income_post ~ 1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder + Age + Gender + (1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder + Age + Gender | PROLIFIC_PID)
logLik -2 logLik AIC AICc BIC
-2971.9614 5943.9229 6075.9229 6092.2704 6366.9944
Variance components:
Column Variance Std.Dev. Corr.
PROLIFIC_PID (Intercept) 9.42485967 3.06999343
HH_Net_Income_PA 0.00000123 0.00110753 -0.86
At_Risk_of_Destitution 1.68373749 1.29758911 +0.19 -0.25
gad_7 9.67690392 3.11077224 -0.09 +0.08 -0.26
phq_8 16.17985748 4.02241936 +0.03 +0.00 -0.36 +0.10
Ladder 13.99446093 3.74091712 +0.17 -0.13 -0.29 -0.03 +0.38
Age 1.59259515 1.26198065 +0.66 -0.81 +0.03 -0.29 -0.32 -0.05
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 7.90872029 2.81224471 +0.01 -0.07 -0.00 -0.04 +0.01 +0.03 +0.06
Gender: In another way, please type in below 7.43975576 2.72759157 +0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 +0.02 +0.05 +0.01
Gender: Male 10.15593552 3.18683786 +0.04 -0.04 -0.16 +0.02 +0.31 +0.31 -0.06 +0.03 +0.02
Residual 7.76389327 2.78637637
Number of obs: 608; levels of grouping factors: 304
Fixed-effects parameters:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coef. Std. Error z Pr(>|z|)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 94.0677 8.52921 11.03 <1e-27
HH_Net_Income_PA -2.95749e-6 0.000103132 -0.03 0.9771
At_Risk_of_Destitution 0.0416242 0.0995104 0.42 0.6757
gad_7 0.489263 0.439326 1.11 0.2654
phq_8 0.294655 0.472819 0.62 0.5332
Ladder -1.04178 0.956403 -1.09 0.2760
Age -0.406377 0.165763 -2.45 0.0142
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 14.0284 13.3313 1.05 0.2927
Gender: In another way, please type in below 9.01801 17.6511 0.51 0.6094
Gender: Male -1.88414 3.59812 -0.52 0.6005
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3
Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood
basic_income_post ~ 1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder + Age + Gender + next_election + (1 + HH_Net_Income_PA + At_Risk_of_Destitution + gad_7 + phq_8 + Ladder + Age + Gender + next_election | PROLIFIC_PID)
logLik -2 logLik AIC AICc BIC
-2997.4455 5994.8909 6266.8909 6346.0077 6866.6747
Variance components:
Column Variance Std.Dev. Corr.
PROLIFIC_PID (Intercept) 2.67609170 1.63587643
HH_Net_Income_PA 0.00000174 0.00131889 +1.00
At_Risk_of_Destitution 2.30837071 1.51933232 -0.13 -0.13
gad_7 3.52184512 1.87665797 -0.01 -0.01 -0.08
phq_8 5.98476423 2.44637778 +0.02 +0.02 -0.22 +0.08
Ladder 4.60228711 2.14529418 -0.06 -0.06 -0.21 -0.00 +0.12
Age 2.48081106 1.57505907 -0.85 -0.85 -0.25 -0.13 -0.09 +0.09
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 3.56396732 1.88784727 +0.05 +0.05 +0.01 +0.02 -0.01 +0.07 -0.05
Gender: In another way, please type in below 3.32036575 1.82218708 +0.02 +0.02 +0.01 +0.01 +0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06
Gender: Male 4.05052880 2.01259256 +0.05 +0.05 -0.00 -0.03 +0.02 -0.02 -0.04 +0.06 -0.02
next_election: Labour 3.64772452 1.90990171 -0.06 -0.06 +0.12 -0.00 -0.12 -0.07 +0.02 -0.03 -0.00 -0.04
next_election: LibDem 3.43148469 1.85242670 +0.05 +0.05 -0.04 +0.01 +0.04 +0.04 -0.03 +0.02 +0.04 +0.02 -0.03
next_election: Nat/Green 3.31201678 1.81989472 +0.05 +0.05 -0.03 +0.00 +0.07 +0.00 -0.06 -0.04 +0.01 -0.04 +0.02 +0.04
next_election: No Vote/DK/Refused 4.49078857 2.11914808 +0.03 +0.03 -0.20 +0.02 +0.14 +0.13 +0.03 +0.01 -0.04 +0.03 -0.08 +0.01 +0.05
next_election: Other/Brexit 3.80161917 1.94977413 +0.02 +0.02 +0.04 +0.01 -0.00 -0.15 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.12 +0.03 -0.04 +0.03 +0.02
Residual 3.46370989 1.86110448
Number of obs: 608; levels of grouping factors: 304
Fixed-effects parameters:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coef. Std. Error z Pr(>|z|)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 97.6666 9.10453 10.73 <1e-26
HH_Net_Income_PA -2.58789e-5 0.000113244 -0.23 0.8192
At_Risk_of_Destitution 0.0656903 0.109483 0.60 0.5485
gad_7 0.447701 0.360021 1.24 0.2137
phq_8 0.271683 0.388849 0.70 0.4847
Ladder -0.334403 0.89026 -0.38 0.7072
Age -0.441343 0.184297 -2.39 0.0166
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 11.7549 15.8223 0.74 0.4575
Gender: In another way, please type in below 3.08596 21.0344 0.15 0.8834
Gender: Male -3.0631 3.97787 -0.77 0.4413
next_election: Labour -3.13019 3.05978 -1.02 0.3063
next_election: LibDem 2.09515 3.68428 0.57 0.5696
next_election: Nat/Green -5.2841 4.85343 -1.09 0.2763
next_election: No Vote/DK/Refused -7.1398 2.47321 -2.89 0.0039
next_election: Other/Brexit -10.0693 3.64748 -2.76 0.0058
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4)
Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood
basic_income_post ~ 1 + Ladder + Age + Gender + next_election + (1 + Ladder + Age + Gender + next_election | PROLIFIC_PID)
logLik -2 logLik AIC AICc BIC
-2689.6373 5379.2745 5535.2745 5558.5713 5879.2681
Variance components:
Column Variance Std.Dev. Corr.
PROLIFIC_PID (Intercept) 239.919419 15.489332
Ladder 11.776202 3.431647 -0.19
Age 0.289489 0.538042 -0.48 +0.10
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 55.185925 7.428723 -0.07 -0.65 -0.56
Gender: In another way, please type in below 94.212311 9.706303 +0.27 -0.98 -0.01 +0.51
Gender: Male 246.370808 15.696204 +0.25 -0.48 -0.84 +0.86 +0.34
next_election: Labour 449.991590 21.213005 -0.45 -0.25 -0.50 +0.81 +0.09 +0.70
next_election: LibDem 1210.498221 34.792215 +0.08 -0.59 -0.75 +0.92 +0.45 +0.95 +0.80
next_election: Nat/Green 350.480496 18.721124 -0.26 -0.56 -0.53 +0.91 +0.41 +0.78 +0.93 +0.92
next_election: No Vote/DK/Refused 537.901256 23.192698 -0.07 -0.35 -0.42 +0.56 +0.21 +0.64 +0.48 +0.69 +0.59
next_election: Other/Brexit 391.784695 19.793552 -0.17 -0.60 -0.49 +0.86 +0.45 +0.81 +0.77 +0.91 +0.90 +0.87
Residual 181.620810 13.476677
Number of obs: 608; levels of grouping factors: 304
Fixed-effects parameters:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coef. Std. Error z Pr(>|z|)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Intercept) 83.7049 6.12303 13.67 <1e-41
Ladder -1.92186 0.641798 -2.99 0.0027
Age -0.138885 0.0860353 -1.61 0.1065
Gender: In another way (please type in below) 9.48185 8.31069 1.14 0.2539
Gender: In another way, please type in below 12.2417 8.17402 1.50 0.1342
Gender: Male -0.553939 2.18388 -0.25 0.7998
next_election: Labour 13.9517 4.05001 3.44 0.0006
next_election: LibDem 6.53348 6.03249 1.08 0.2788
next_election: Nat/Green 16.0342 4.79067 3.35 0.0008
next_election: No Vote/DK/Refused 3.55657 4.2559 0.84 0.4033
next_election: Other/Brexit 8.85928 5.22655 1.70 0.0901
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basic_income_post
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
At_Risk_of_Destitution 0.060 0.059 0.054 0.055 0.058 0.056 0.056 0.058 0.063 0.062
(-0.057, 0.177) (-0.059, 0.176) (-0.062, 0.171) (-0.061, 0.171) (-0.056, 0.173) (-0.058, 0.170) (-0.060, 0.172) (-0.058, 0.173) (-0.051, 0.177) (-0.052, 0.175)
HH_Net_Income_PA 0.018 0.030 0.037 0.036 0.039 0.030 0.024 0.024 0.028 0.019
(-0.166, 0.202) (-0.155, 0.215) (-0.147, 0.220) (-0.147, 0.220) (-0.144, 0.221) (-0.151, 0.212) (-0.159, 0.207) (-0.159, 0.206) (-0.154, 0.210) (-0.162, 0.200)
gad_7 0.171 0.125 0.085 0.131 0.134 0.228
(-0.736, 1.078) (-0.787, 1.037) (-0.818, 0.987) (-0.551, 0.813) (-0.763, 1.031) (-0.454, 0.911)
phq_8 0.124 0.054 0.066 0.134
(-0.707, 0.954) (-0.779, 0.888) (-0.767, 0.898) (-0.694, 0.963)
Ladder 0.787 0.852
(-1.806, 3.380) (-1.758, 3.462)
trust_in_politics 0.828* 0.832* 0.824* 0.794* 0.800* 0.780*
(0.108, 1.547) (0.114, 1.551) (0.108, 1.540) (0.085, 1.504) (0.093, 1.508) (0.071, 1.489)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PROLIFIC_PID Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
N 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620 620
R2 0.785 0.781 0.781 0.781 0.781 0.781 0.780 0.785 0.785 0.784 0.784 0.784
Within-R2 0.022 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.003 0.000 0.021 0.021 0.019 0.019 0.015
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